摘要
基于陕西省1985-2010年的GDP、固定资产投资(FAI)以及碳排放数据,建立OLS回归模型,运用协整理论和格兰杰因果检验,研究陕西省FAI、经济增长与CO2排放的关系。实证分析表明:长期来看,三者之间存在长期均衡关系;同时,FAI、经济增长与碳排放之间存在双向因果关系。最后,建议陕西省积极实施相关节能减排措施,合理调节能源生产、消费结构,因地制宜,深度发掘具有陕西特色的旅游产业资源,拓宽第三产业的发展路径。
Based on the economic data of GDP and FAI and carbon emission from 1985-2010 of Shanxi province,this paper constructs OLS model to research the relationship between FA1 and economic growth through cointegration analysis and Granger Test. The study proves that,there exists a long-term balanced relationship and reflects two-way causality among e- conomic development, FAI and carbon emission. So the author suggests that Shanxi should implement energy-saving and e- mission-reduction, regulate energy production and consumption structure reasonably, explore the tourism resources of Shanxi, and expand the development scope of the tertiary industry.
出处
《十堰职业技术学院学报》
2012年第6期70-73,共4页
Journal of Shiyan Technical Institute
基金
2012年延安大学研究生创新计划项目研究成果(序号27)
关键词
陕西省
固定资产投资
经济增长
碳排放
实证分析
:economic growth
fixed assets investment
carbon dioxide emissions:the tourism industry