摘要
在开放经济下,对外直接投资是推动产业结构调整的重要途径。选取江苏省1991—2010年间的OFDI存量、第二产业产值比重和第三产业产值比重的年度数据,建立了VAR模型,分析江苏省OFDI与产业结构之间的相关性。结果表明,江苏OFDI和产业结构之间存在着长期均衡关系,其中OFDI与第二产业产值比重呈负相关,与第三产业产值比重呈正相关,符合江苏省产业结构的调整方向;同时江苏省产业结构的优化反过来可以推动OFDI发展,第二产业的推动作用更明显。
In open economy, OFDI is an important way to promote industrial structure adjustment. Based on the statistical data from 1982 to 2007, the paper selects three variables, OFDI stock, the second industry production value proportion (C2) and the third industry production value proportion ( C3 ). This paper then studies the correlation be - tween OFDI and industry structure adjustment in the framework of VAR model. The results indicate that there exists a long - term and balanced relationship between them ; OFDI of Jiangsu province has a negative effect on C2, but it has a positive effect on C3. This result meets the direction of industrial structure adjustment of Jiangsu province. At the same time, upgrading of Jiangsu provinee's industrial structure can also promote OFDI, and the effect of the second industry is more obvious.
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第4期95-98,107,共5页
Science and Technology Management Research