摘要
结合大型复杂武器系统装备特点、装备保障现状,探讨了故障预测技术发展对部队战斗力生成的必要性,研究了故障预测技术在国内外研究发展情况和趋势,详述和对比了故障预测技术的分类方法,总结了不同预测方法的优缺点,并对故障预测技术的发展趋势进行了初步探索和展望。
Combined with the characteristics and status quo of large complex weapon systems, this paper discusses the necessity of developing fault forecasting technology for forming troop strength, and studies at the development situation and trends in domestic and overseas study. After detailing the methods of classif- ying fault forecast technologies, the article summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of different fore- casting methods, and then makes a preliminary exploration and forecasts the trend of fault forecasting tech- nology.
出处
《四川兵工学报》
CAS
2013年第2期92-95,116,共5页
Journal of Sichuan Ordnance
关键词
故障预测
视情维修
PHM
灰色预测
数据驱动
回归预测
failure prediction
condition-based maintenance
PHM
grey prediction
data driven
regres- sion forecasting
