摘要
本文试图从搜寻匹配的视角,解释婚姻推迟现象。从经济学角度看,未婚人口比例上升,实际上是个体在婚姻市场搜寻匹配过程受阻。模型引申含义表明:在男性异质、女性同质的条件下,男性平均差距扩大,使女性未婚人口比例上升,但男性未婚人口比例下降;在女性异质、男性同质的条件下,女性平均差距上升,导致男性未婚人口比例下降,而女性未婚人口比例上升。使用1995-2009年中国省级数据,运用联立方程模型处理内生性后,本文发现,人均收入差距扩大是女性未婚人口比例上升的重要原因。城乡收入差距、工资差距分别与女性未婚人口比例显著正相关,但与男性比例显著负相关。因此,本文的政策含义是,缩小收入差距是遏制婚姻推迟现象的必经之路。
From the perspective of searching and matching in the marriage market,this paper attempts to explain the delay in marriage.Based on the economic theory,the rising proportion of unmarried population refers to the hindered process of searching and matching in the marriage market.The model indicates that,in the case of heterogeneous men but homogeneous women,an increase in average male gap leads to a corresponding rise in the proportion of unmarried female but a decline in the proportion of unmarried male;while in the case of heterogeneous women but homogeneous men,an increase in average female gap leads to a corresponding decline in the male proportion but an increase in the female proportion.Based on the data of province-level statistics from 1995 to 2009,this paper shows that the expanding average income gap is the main reason for the increasing female proportion,using the simultaneous equation regressions for dealing with the endogeneity.Income gap between urban and rural areas and wage gap both positivly correlate with the unmarried female＇s proportion but negatively correlate with the unmarried male＇s proportion.Therefore,the policy implication of the paper is that,reducing the income gap is an important solution to the problem of the delay in marriage.
出处
《经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第2期58-68,共11页
Economic Review
关键词
收入差距
未婚人口比例
婚姻推迟
搜寻匹配
Income Gap
The Proportion of Unmarried Population
Delays in Marriage
Searching ＆ Matching
