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面向任务的航材备件需求预测分析 被引量:6

Analysis of Mission-Oriented Aeronautic Spare Parts Demand Prediction
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摘要 航空备件是航空装备维修保障的物质基础,装备维修精确化要求对备件需求进行合理预测,而任务是其适时、适量的主要参照对象。本文以备件需求预测为研究对象,以任务为中心,针对备件寿命分布复杂的特点,综合考虑装备使用可用度和经济性约束,利用蒙特卡罗建立备件需求仿真模型,采用边际效益分析优化求解,并用实例验证了模型的可行性和有效性。 As the material foundation of the Aeronautic equipment maintenance support, the precision maintenance demands spare parts supervise reasonably, which refers to the missions. Focusing on the system with multi-items with different life distributions, the paper takes the spare parts demand supervise as the research object, and the simulation method of Mento-Carlo is used to establish the model, in which operational availability of equipment can be maximized using this arithmetic while meets the limitation of spare parts cost, problem as a combination one, the marginal analysis method is presented to solve the optimization problem. An application example is also given to validate the feasibility and validity of the method.
出处 《飞机设计》 2013年第1期64-67,共4页 Aircraft Design
关键词 备件需求 仿真 边际效益分析 面向任务 aeronautic spare parts demand simulation marginal analysis method mission-oriented
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