摘要
本文运用扩展的Solow模型阐述了援助影响FDI的理论机制,并以中国为研究主体,以17个OECD国家的数据为样本,实证分析了双边发展援助对FDI的短期、中期和长期效应。实证结果显示:在短期,17个OECD国家的对华发展援助挤出了这些国家对中国的FDI,但在中长期促进了这些国家对中国的FDI,并且时间越长,促进效应越强。因此,发达国家向中国投入发展援助是有效的。双方应充分利用这种有效性,发达国家现期不适宜取消对华发展援助,中国应积极寻求双边发展援助来促进新兴产业和中西部地区的发展。
This paper applies the extended Solow model to describe the theoretical impact mechanism of international bilateral aid towards FDI by a case study of China referring to data of 17 OECD countries.An empirical analysis is carried out on the short-term,mid-term and long-term effects of bilateral development aids on China’ s FDI.The results show that bilateral development aid to China from the said 17 OECD countries has a crowd-out effect on China’ s FDI from these countries in the short run,while an encouraging effect is found in the medium-term and the long-term,with the effect intensified as time elapses.It is thus concluded that the development aid from developed countries to China is effective for China’ FDI attraction.Both the said developed countries and China should make full use of this effectiveness.For the time being,it is not sensible for the developed countries to withdraw their development aids to China,while it is advisable for China to actively seek bilateral development aids to promote the development of its domestic emerging industries and its central and western regions.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第6期115-123,共9页
Journal of International Trade
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(批准号:11BJL076)资助
