摘要
运用协整理论、向量误差修正模型、脉冲响应函数和方差分解的方法,对新疆能源消费和经济增长及产业结构关系进行实证分析.结果表明:新疆能源消费与经济增长和产业结构之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,长期来看,能源消费和经济增长相互促进;能源消费增长对产业结构升级有负向影响,经济增长对产业结构升级有促进作用;产业结构升级能刺激经济增长,也能抑制能源消费的增长,实施产业结构升级是新疆实现节能减排和经济增长双重目标的有效途径.短期内,产业结构升级对经济增长有负向影响.
Co-integration, VEC model, impulse response, and variance decomposing methods were used to research the relationship among energy consumption, economic growth and industrial structure in XinJiang. The results show that a long stable equilibrium relationship exits among energy consumption, economic growth and industrial structure in XinJiang. In a long term, Energy consumption and economic growth can accelerate each other. Energy consumption growth has negative effect on upgrading industrial structure, and economic growth can accelerate upgrading Industrial Structure. Upgrading industrial struc- ture can both accelerate economic growth and restrain energy consumption growth. Upgrading industrial structure is a good way to save energy and to realize economic growth. In a short term, upgrading Industri- al Structure can restrain economic growth.
出处
《内蒙古师范大学学报（自然科学汉文版）》
CAS
北大核心
2013年第3期358-364,共7页
Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目(11XYJ015)
关键词
能源消费
经济增长
产业结构
协整
VEC模型
energy consumption
economic growth
industrial structure
cointegration
VEC model
