摘要
基于分析我国1997—2010年服务业FDI与服务贸易的数据,利用VAR模型对我国服务业FDI与服务贸易的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,服务业出口与进口均是服务业FDI的单向Granger原因,而服务业FDI并不是服务业出口与进口的Granger原因。从长期看,服务业FDI与服务业出口与进口均存在替代关系;短期来看,则存在较弱的互补关系。提出应加快我国服务业发展,优化服务业内部结构;进一步开放国内服务业市场,加大服务业FDI的引入和服务贸易的进口;加快我国的技术进步,提高出口产品的附加值;将发展服务外包作为我国服务贸易发展的重点,积极引进高质量的FDI进入服务外包领域等对策建议。
Based on the analysis of data about services FDI and service trade in 1997--2010, using VAR model for China＇ s service trade in services between FDI and empirical research. The results showed that the export and import of services are uni- directional Granger cause of services FDI, services FDI is not Granger cause of services export and import. In the long run, the service sector FDI and service exports,imports of services are substitutes. In the short term, services FDI and service exports, imports of services are in weak complementary relationship, the last of these industries in investment policy recommendations.
出处
《对外经贸》
2013年第7期45-47,共3页
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE
