摘要
房地产业和旅游业作为区域经济发展的重要产业,为了研究他们之间的相互关系,以西安市房地产业和旅游业为例进行实证分析,首先构建房地产发展水平的评价指标体系,采用熵值法确定权重,利用综合评分法测度房地产业展水平,同时选取旅游总收入指标表征旅游业发展水平.在此基础上,运用动态计量经济学中的单位根平稳性检验、协整性分析、误差修正模型以及Granger因果检验方法,探索房地产业与旅游业之间的发展关系,初步推断出旅游业发展水平和房地产业发展水平之间存在着长期均衡的关系,旅游业发展水平是房地产发展水平的Granger原因.
Real estate and tourism play an important roles in regional economic development.In order to reveal the relationship between them,this paper selected Xi′an real estate and tourism as an object for empirical analysis,in constructing a reasonable evaluation index system,using entropy value method to determine the weight and comprehensive scoring method to estimate the level of real estate development and measuring the tourism industry development level by tourism income.On this basis,using dynamic econometric analysis method such as unit root stationarity test,cointegration analysis,error correction model and granger causality test,the relations between real estate development level and tourism is put to a quantitatively exploring.Finally it comes to a conclusion that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between them,and tourism industry development level is the Granger cause of real estate development level.
出处
《西安建筑科技大学学报（自然科学版）》
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第3期428-433,共6页
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology(Natural Science Edition)
基金
陕西省教育厅哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目(12JZ013)
陕西省重点学科建设专项资金资助项目(E08001)
关键词
房地产业发展水平
旅游总收入
动态计量经济学
real estate industry development level
tourism income
dynamic econometric
