摘要
在定性分析了居民人均可支配收入、实际房贷利率、信贷可获得性、住房空置面积及调控政策对房地产住宅价格影响的基础上,提出了房地产住宅价格系统动力学模型,重点研究了调控政策对住宅价格变动的影响。研究发现,上调房产税税率对抑制房价攀升有较为明显的作用,房产税税率不同,房价的均衡价格也不同;房价下降幅度与房产税税率间呈现一定的线性相关性。
After qualitatively analyzed the impact of the factors including residents＇ disposable income, the actual mortgage interest rates, credit availability, housing vacant area and control pglicies on the real estate housing price, this paper proposed a system dynamic model of the real estate housing price to find the relationships between the stringent of the national regulatory policies and housing price changing. It showed obvious effects to control the rising housing price under the implementation of real estate tax institution. The equilibrium p/ice changes with the different rate of real estate tax, as the tax rate increases, housing prices tend to drop down. And, there is obvious linear correlation between housing price decline and the tax rate.
出处
《计算机应用研究》
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第8期2368-2372,共5页
Application Research of Computers
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(70871080
71171134)
上海市科研创新重点资助项目(11ZS138)
上海市哲学社会科学规划课题(2011BGL006)
上海市重点学科资助项目(S30504)
关键词
房价
系统动力学
房产税制度
建模
计算机仿真
housing price
system dynamics
real estate tax institution
modeling
computer simulation
