摘要
基于扩展的FCI指数及VAR非理论型非结构化工具模型所具有的良好扩展性质,构建物流行业发展状况指数(LCI),对我国物流产业政策指示器选择进行尝试性研究,研究表明样本期内LCI与物流行业资本增长变动之间存在较显著的相关性和动态性,在计量意义上可以把LCI看做资本增长变动替代先导性指标,因此在一定程度上可将其视为物流产业政策坐标信号。
In the paper, based on the good scalability of the extended FCI index and the VAR non-theoretic and non-stnlctural instrumental model, we established the logistics industry development condition index （LCI）, had a tentative research on the selection of the policy indicator of the Chinese logistics industry, the result of which indicated that there existed significant correlativity and dynamics between LCI and assets variation of the logistics industry and in an econometric sense LCI could be taken as a leading indicator of the assets variation of the industry and thus to a certain extent as a coordinative signal of the policies of the logistics industry.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2013年第7期338-341,共4页
Logistics Technology
关键词
产业政策
LCI
信号器
物流行业
industrial policy
LCI
indicator
logistics industry
