摘要
文章运用协整理论、误差修正模型等方法,利用1995-2012年间的年度数据,对中国对东盟的直接投资与贸易间关系进行了实证分析。分析结果表明,中国对东盟的直接投资与进出口贸易间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,直接投资与出口贸易间是一种互补关系,直接投资与进口贸易间是一种替代关系;短期内,中国对东盟的直接投资与进出口贸易间是一种替代关系。
This article uses the methods such as co-integration test and VEC model to empirically analyze the relationship between Chinese outward FDI and international trade in ASEAN during 1995 -2011. The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between Chinese outward FDI and international trade in ASEAN.On the one hand, in the long term, there is a complementary relationship between outward FDI and export whereas there is a trade-off relationship between outward FDI and import. On the other hand, in the short term, there exists a trade-off relationship between outward FDI and international trade.
出处
《山东财政学院学报》
2013年第5期58-63,共6页
Journal of Shandong Finance Institute
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"增加值贸易与国外供求波动的动态传递效应研究"(13YJA790024)
