摘要
本文从区域经济的视角，利用2005—2010年相关各省、自治区的面板数据，对中国东、中、西部区域人均碳排放量及其影响因素进行了协整和格兰杰因果关系检验。研究结果表明，东、中部区域的人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率、人均碳排放量之间存在协整关系，西部地区的人均GDP、能源效率、人均碳排放量之间存在协整关系；东、西部地区的人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率分别是人均碳排放量的格兰杰原因；中部地区的人均GDP、能源效率分别是人均碳排放量的格兰杰原因，且人均GDP与人均碳排放量具有双向格兰杰原因。从协整关系看，人均GDP、产业结构、能源效率对人均碳排放量的影响存在区域差异，据此文章最后给出了一些区域经济低碳发展的政策建议。
From the perspective of regional economy, the paper, using panel data of relevant provinces and autonomous regions during 2005 - 2010, tested eointegration and granger causality of per capita carbon emissions and its influence factors in the eastern, the central and the western region of China. The results showed that per capita GDP, industrial structure, energy efficiency and per capita carbon emissions in the eastern and the central region has a cointegration relatlottship. In the western region, per capita GDP, energy effi- ciency and per capita carbon emissions has a cointegrafion relationship. In the east and western region, per capita GDP, industrial struc- ture, and energy efficiency are granger causality of per capita carbon emissions respectively. In the central region, per capita GDP, and energy efticiency are granger causality of per capita carbon emissions respectively, and there is a two- way granger causality between per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions. The results from the variable resression revealed that per capita GDP, industrial structure, energy efficiency have different influence on per capita carbon emissions in different regions respectively. On the basis of the above analysis, the paper finally gives some policy suggestions on low carbon development of regional economy.
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第10期70-76,共7页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
区域经济
低碳发展
协整
格兰杰因果关系
regional economy
low carbon development
cointegration
granger causality
