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Spatial Modeling of the Highest Daily Maximum Temperature in Korea via Max-stable Processes 被引量:3

Spatial Modeling of the Highest Daily Maximum Temperature in Korea via Max-stable Processes
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摘要 This paper examines the annual highest daily maximum temperature (DMT) in Korea by using data from 56 weather stations and employing spatial extreme modeling. Our approach is based on max-stable processes (MSP) with Schlather's characterization. We divide the country into four regions for a better model fit and identify the best model for each region. We show that regional MSP modeling is more suitable than MSP modeling for the entire region and the pointwise generalized extreme value distribution approach. The advantage of spatial extreme modeling is that more precise and robust return levels and some indices of the highest temperatures can be obtained for observation stations and for locations with no observed data, and so help to determine the effects and assessment of vulnerability as well as to downscale extreme events. This paper examines the annual highest daily maximum temperature (DMT) in Korea by using data from 56 weather stations and employing spatial extreme modeling. Our approach is based on max-stable processes (MSP) with Schlather's characterization. We divide the country into four regions for a better model fit and identify the best model for each region. We show that regional MSP modeling is more suitable than MSP modeling for the entire region and the pointwise generalized extreme value distribution approach. The advantage of spatial extreme modeling is that more precise and robust return levels and some indices of the highest temperatures can be obtained for observation stations and for locations with no observed data, and so help to determine the effects and assessment of vulnerability as well as to downscale extreme events.
出处 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第6期1608-1620,共13页 大气科学进展(英文版)
关键词 extreme climate extremal coefficient generalized extreme value distribution prediction re- turn level spatial extremes extreme climate, extremal coefficient, generalized extreme value distribution, prediction, re- turn level, spatial extremes
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