摘要
本文以城镇化、对外开放与城乡收入差距的作用机制为理论基础,运用基于VAR模型的动态计量分析方法,对我国1978～2011年城镇化、对外开放与城乡收入差距的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明:城镇化在短期有利于缩小城乡收入差距,而在长期则会对城乡收入差距的扩大产生微弱的作用,对外开放对城乡收入差距只具有短期的正向作用;控制变量金融发展水平有利于扩大城乡收入差距,财政农业支出有利于缩小城乡收入差距。在此基础上根据我国的发展现状,文章对实证结论进行了解释并提出了政策启示。
Bases on the theory mechanism between urbanization, opening-up and the urban-rural income gap, the paper makes an empirical study on the interaction between them from 1978 to 2011 with a dynamic econometric analysis method using VAR model. The research results shows that urbanization is beneficial to narrow the urban-rural income gap, but has a weak effect on widening urban-rural income gap ; opening-up has only a short-term positive ef- fects on urban-rural income gap. In the control variables, the level of financial development is conducive to expanding urban-rural income gap, fiscal expenditure on agriculture is conducive to reducing urban-rural income gap. On this basis, according to the present situation of the development of our country, the paper explains the empirical conclu- sion and proposes the policy implications.
出处
《区域金融研究》
2013年第10期81-88,共8页
Journal of Regional Financial Research
关键词
城镇化
对外开放
城乡收入差距
协整检验
脉冲响应
Urbanization
Opening-up
Urban-rural Income Gap
Co-integration Test
Impulse Response
