摘要
指出了新装备列装部队时间短、维修保障成本数据较少的特点，考虑到灰色系统GM（1，1）模型具有要求数据少、原理简单、计算量适中、结果精度高的优点，运用GM（1，1）模型对维修保障成本进行预测。以某新型装备列装部队维修保障成本预测为例进行研究，建立了GM（1，1）模型并对其精度进行了检验，之后进行了预测。实例表明，运用灰色系统GM（1，1）模型能够对装备维修保障成本进行较为准确的预测。
Pointing out the new equipment fitted out troops short for time and the less data on the cost of maintenance and support , considering the advantages of the gray system GM （1,1）model has a little data, simple principle, moderate com-putation, accurate result, an application of GM （ 1,1 ） model to forecast the cost of equipment＇ s maintenance support. Using new equipment fitted out troops to forecast the cost of equipment＇ s maintenance support as research example, building up the GM （ 1,1 ） model and examines the accuracy and then forecast the cost of equipment＇ s maintenance support. The exam- ple show that, making use of the gray system GM （ 1,1 ） model can forecast better in the cost of equipment＇ s maintenance support.
关键词
GM(1
1)模型
维修保障成本
检验
预测
GM （ 1,1 ） model
the cost of maintain guarantee
examine
forecast
