摘要
随着我国城镇化速度峰值的到来,我国经历由快速城镇化发展模式逐渐向内涵式城镇化发展道路的转变。其中,公共服务非均等化是我国城镇化过程中的突出问题。本文在我国城镇化时空发展特征的分析基础上,采用单因素方差分析的方法检验不同城镇化阶段公共服务的投入差异,研究发现:①不同城镇化阶段公共服务投入的种类侧重存在显著差异;②不同城镇化阶段公共服务投入的增长幅度不同;③随着城镇化水平的提升,公共服务的提升与城镇化率的提高不同步特征愈发突出。进而,基于分位回归模型在对地级市尺度的城镇化发展水平与公共服务的关系研究中发现,在城镇化水平达到51%前后呈现出公共服务投入的拐点,与城镇化速度峰值点相吻合。加快向现代公共服务型政府转型,推动公共事务治理的民主性、治理主体的多元化和治理方式的多样性,形成公共服务主体间相互合作、多元互动的社会治理结构是未来我国实现公共服务均等化的发展方向。
As the peak rate of the urbanization process arrives, China is undergoing a shift from the mode of rapid urbanization development to one that emphasizes quality. The inequal- ity of public service is among the serious issues in China’s urbanization process. Based on the analysis of temporal and spatial characteristics of China’s urbanization, the paper finds out that： ①there is a significant difference in types of public services inputs at different stages of the ur- banization process; ②the growth rates of public services inputs differ in types; ③public services are not synchronized with the rise of urbanization level. It then introduces the quantile regression model to research the relationship between urbanization and public service. When the urbaniza- tion rate reaches 51%, public service will reach an inflection point. To promote the equalization of public service, the author suggests building public service-oriented government and estab- lishing social management structure with democracy and multiplicity.
出处
《城市观察》
2013年第6期135-144,共10页
Urban Insight
关键词
城镇化
公共服务
均等化
分位回归
urbanization
public service
equalization
quantile regression
