摘要
从铁路运输企业的角度,以市场竞争为导向,以提高铁路客运市场竞争力和综合经营效益为目标,从客流属性特征出发,对竞争条件下旅客运输需求进行分析,引入匹配因子和分担率的概念,以距离和旅客收入结构为交叉因素对分担率进行预测,构建了适应我国铁路客运需求预测理论体系,并以京广线为例对高速铁路在竞争条件下的客运需求量进行了合理预测.
In order to improve the railway passenger transportation market competitiveness and compre- hensive management benefit, this paper analyses the passenger transport demand from the characteris- tics of passenger flow properties which are under conditions of competition with the market competition as the guidance. Then the concepts of matching degree and share rate are disturbed, and the share rate is forecasted on the factor of distance and passenger revenue structure for cross. The passengers＇ trans- port demands forecasting theory system of railway is constructed and the high-speed railway passen- gers＇ demands are predicted reasonably under conditions of competition with Beijing-Guangzhou rail- way as an example.
出处
《北京交通大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第6期72-77,共6页
JOURNAL OF BEIJING JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY
基金
铁道部科技研究开发计划项目资助(2010F007)
关键词
高速铁路
市场竞争
客运需求
匹配因子
分担率
high-speed railway
market competition
passenger demand
matching degree
share rate
