摘要
基于我国30个省份2003—2011年的CO2排放量数据,利用面板数据的向量自回归方法和脉冲响应方法分析碳排放量与环境规制和造林活动之间的关系。结果表明:30个省份CO2的平均排放量以10.7%的速度逐年上升;不同省份CO2排放量之间的差距不断拉大;环境规制对各省CO2排放量的影响呈现先增后减的趋势;造林活动前期减排作用不明显,但减排效果具有长期性。
Based on the estimation of CO2 emissions of 30 provinces from 2003 to 2011 in China, this paper analyzed the change trend of CO2 emissions with the kernel density estimation method. Meanwhile, the relationship of CO2 emissions, environmental regulation and afforestation activity was also analyzed by using the panel vector autoregression and impulse response method. The results showed that the CO2 emissions of 30 provinces increased by 10.7% year by year from 2003 to 2011; the gap was widening in different provinces; the impact of environmental regulation on CO2 emission presented a trend from increase to decrease; the impact of afforestation activity on CO2 emissions was not obvious but had a long-term effect.
出处
《经济与管理》
CSSCI
2013年第12期63-68,共6页
Economy and Management
基金
国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所课题(201304)
国家社会科学基金(11CGL060)
中国博士后基金(2012M510315)
