摘要
根据江苏省1986-2011年进出口总额、港口货物吞吐量、货运量时间序列数据,利用协整理论和误差修正模型等计量经济学方法,分析江苏省区域物流与对外贸易之间的关系。研究结果表明,江苏省对外贸易和区域物流之间存在协整关系;港口货物吞吐量和货运量对对外贸易影响比较显著,而对外贸易对港口货物吞吐量和货运量影响不显著。
In this paper, we used the co- integration theory and error correction model to analyze the relationship between the regional logistics and external trade in Jiangsu and found that there existed a co- integrated relationship between the two; the throughput volume and freight transportation volume of the ports had rather significant influence on the external trade while the reverse was not true.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2013年第11期291-293,共3页
Logistics Technology
关键词
区域物流
对外贸易
协整理论
误差修正模型
regional logistics
external trade
co-integration theory
error-correction model
