摘要
全球化贸易下国际产业转移"隐含碳排放"、"碳转移"以及"碳泄漏"等碳污染效应已得到国内外学者的广泛关注与研究。然而,我国目前正处于沿海产业向中西部地区转移的关键时期,区域间产业转移导致的相关碳污染研究并没有得到相应关注。文章根据投入产出原理并结合中国2002年、2007年区域间投入产出表基本数据,对中国八大区域间以出口和消费为导向的产业转移规模、流向和行业进行定量测评,并与2007年中国分区域分行业碳排放系数结合,以考察区域产业转移带来的"碳排放转移"和"碳泄漏"效应,并进一步探讨产业转移对区域碳排放的影响问题。所得结论是,通过东部沿海产业转移,西北和东北等地区成为碳排放转入和碳泄漏重灾区,京津和北部沿海等地区则表现出产业转移碳减排效应,因而产业转移对不同区域碳排放的影响存在差异,表现出西北、东北等地区影响较大而东部沿海、京津等地区影响较小。因此,更为严厉的环境规制和差别化区域减排政策的制定迫在眉睫。
In global trade carbon pollution effects of international industrial transfer such as implicit carbon emission,carbon transfer and carbon leakage have drawn extensive attention from domestic and foreign scholars.However,at present China experiences a key stage of industrial transfer from coastal areas to central and western areas,and related carbon pollution research resulting from inter-regional industrial transfer has not attracted corresponding attention.Based on input-output approach and the basic data of inter-regional input-output tables in 2002and 2007in China,this paper quantitatively evaluates the size,direction and industry concerning export-oriented and consumption-oriented industrial transfer in eight regions.Furthermore, based on sub-region and sub-industry carbon emission coefficients in 2007,it studies the carbon emission transfer and carbon leakage effects caused by regional industrial transfer and further discusses the effect of industrial transfer on regional carbon emission.It arrives at the following conclusions:by industrial transfer in eastern coastal areas,northwest,northeast and other regions become the heavy disaster areas of carbon emission and carbon leakage,and in Beijing,Tianjin and northern coastal areas, industrial transfer has carbon emission reduction effect,so industrial transfer has differentiated carbon emission effects in regions,namely greater effects in northwest,and northeast areas and smaller effects in eastern coastal areas,Beijing and Tianjin.Therefore,the formulation of stricter environmental regulation and differentiated regional carbon emission reduction policy is imminent.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第2期75-84,共10页
Journal of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"产业转移对中国碳排放区域差异影响研究"(41101118)
"基于地域产业承载系统适配性的产业集群式转移时空演替机理及调控模式研究"(41271139)
教育部人文社会科学项目"区域碳减排差异化目标下沿海产业转移机制与政策设计:基于多区域环境CGE模型的研究"(13YJC630187)
关键词
区域产业转移
碳排放转移
碳泄漏
投入产出分析模型
inter-regional industrial transfer
carbon emission transfer
carbon leakage
input-output analysis model
