摘要
从农村金融规模、结构和效率三个维度分析农村金融发展对农村经济的影响,得出结论:影响金融发展的各个因素都能促进经济的增长。采用误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数,对我国农村经济增长与农村金融规模、结构、效率之间的实证分析,得出农村金融发展对农村经济增长的影响在长期中处于一种稳定的均衡状态,农村金融发展在短期内可以起到自我误差修正的作用。农村金融发展的三个因素受到政策或信息的改变时对农村经济的影响都是正向冲击。从格兰杰因果检验看来,农村金融发展受到农村经济增长的影响,金融发展处于一种"需求遵从"的地位。
Analysis is made of the impact of rural finance from three dimensions of its scale, structure and effieieney on China's rural economy and is concluded as follows., various factors affecting financial development can promote rural economic growth. By using error correction model, Granger causality test and impulse response function, the relationship between rural economic growth and rural financial scale, structure and efficiency is also studied, and the results show that the impact of rural financial development on rural economic growth maintains a stable equilibrium in a the long term, while rural financial development can play a role of self-error correction in the short term. Rural economy is positively affected by rural finance when its three factors are changed by policy or in- formation. It seems, from the Granger causality test, rural financial development is affected by the existence of ru- ral economic growth and in a "demand compliance"status.
出处
《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2014年第2期53-59,共7页
Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71373207)
教育部人文社科基金项目(09YJAVH074)
教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-11-0443)