摘要
通过对1950~1989年间一系列有关资料进行分析,首次研究和报道了臭氧层变化、太阳活动与流行性脑脊髓膜炎(ECM)及鼠疫(HP)传染病发病率流行周期特征之间的关系.结果表明,从较长时段看,臭氧层变化、太阳活动与ECM、HP年发病率间存在着较为密切的相关关系;从较短时段看,发病率的季节变化与某些气象因子的变化有一定的关系.此外,本文还提出了一个解释这两类疾病周期流行机制的简单模型.
:Based on a series of analysis for the relevant data during the period of 1950~1989, the relationship between the ozone layer variation/solar activity and the periodically prevalent features of two kinds of human infectious diseases in China, the epidemic cerebrospinal meningitis (ECM) and human plague (HP)episodes, is presented and analyzed for the first time in this paper. The result shows that from a long-term view-point, there is a close correlation between ozone layer change/solar activity and the annual incidences of the ECM/HP; and froma short-term view-point, the seasonalvariation of incidence might be associated with the variation of somemete orological factors. Furthermore, a simple model explaining the prevalent mechanism of these human infectious diseases is advanced.
出处
《中国环境科学》
EI
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第1期24-28,共5页
China Environmental Science
基金
国家自然科学基金!(49865001)
中国科学院大气物理所LAPC开放课题资助项目!(LAPC-KF-2000-01)
北京大学地物系LSSR开放课题资助项目