摘要
以甘肃省1978-2012年数据为例,采用协整与误差修正模型技术研究了甘肃省电力需求的决定因素,建立了甘肃电力需求函数,检验了电力需求与国内生产总值、电力价格、经济结构、电力使用效率之间的长期均衡关系及短期波动关系。
With the case of Gansu Province, using data from 1978 to 2012, this paper studies the determinants of power demand with the methods of co-integration theory and error correction model, constructs a power demand function, and tests the long-run equilibrium relationship and short-term fluctuation relationship between aggregate power demand and the main economic variables, such as GDP, price, economic structure and efficiency.
出处
《价值工程》
2014年第10期13-15,共3页
Value Engineering
基金
国家电网公司科技项目(2013EK090008c090008)
关键词
电力需求
协整
误差修正模型
electric power demand
co-integration
error correction model
