摘要
本文研究我国农村剩余劳动的长期结构性变化。研究结果表明,2002—2010年间,农业剩余劳动数量急剧下降超过90%,农村公开失业数量上升70%,成为剩余劳动的主要形式。在农村剩余劳动中,年龄在40岁以上的劳动者、受教育程度在小学及以下水平的劳动者和女性劳动者比例呈明显的上升趋势,2010年所占比例分别达到72.3%,48.11%和56.99%,这些变化可以解释剩余劳动与工资上涨、民工短缺并存的"悖论",剩余劳动的结构性变化表明刘易斯拐点已经到来。
This paper is about the long term structure change of surplus labor in rural China. We find that the surplus labor in agriculture has dramatically declined 90% during 2002 and 2010, while the open unemployment has risen 70% and becomes the major part of surplus labor. In 2010, the proportions of surplus labor over 40 years old, primary educational level or below and female are 72.3%, 48. 1% and 56. 99% respectively. Those sharp changes can explain the paradox of coexistence of surplus labor with rising wage and short of migrant labor. The structure change of surplus labor means the Lewis turning of Chinese economy has been coming.
出处
《经济理论与经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期23-33,共11页
Economic Theory and Business Management
基金
国家社科基金青年项目(12CJL024)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(NKZXB1151)
关键词
显性剩余劳动
隐蔽性剩余劳动
剩余劳动结构
刘易斯拐点
dominant surplus labor
concealed surplus labor
structure of surplus labor
Lewis turning point
