摘要
中国社会科学期刊论文合著率指标以及合作论文中两作者和三人及以上作者合著率指标的灰色预测模型的预测结果表明 ,中国社会科学及大部分分支学科期刊论文合著率指标将继续保持上升趋势 ,预计到 2 0 0 0年中国社会科学期刊论文合著率指标将接近 2 0 % ,这对于促进我国社会科学研究的发展意义重大 ,而中国社会科学科研劳动组织规模则呈逐年下降的态势 。
By means of the gray prediction model,the prediction result of collaborating rate index of periodical theses in Chinese social science shows that it is going on to keep rising trend and come to 20%.It is important for the development of social science in our country.But the labour organization scale of scientific research in Chinese social science is going to falling trend.The reason and influence remain to be further observed.
出处
《情报学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第3期280-288,共9页
Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information
关键词
中国
社会科学期刊
期刊论文
合著率指标
现状
发展趋势
灰色预测模式
China,social science,periodical theses,collaborating index,present situation,developing trend,gray prediction model.
