摘要
中国"商业存在"形成的进出口额占了整个金融服务贸易的近一半,其开放程度事关对外贸易能否健康发展。本文从商业存在模式下金融服务贸易的"显性"和"隐性"壁垒两个方面构建了一套包含13项指标的金融服务贸易壁垒测度指标体系,然后选取2002—2012年时间序列数据并采用因子分析法进行实证研究。结果表明:(1)中国金融服务贸易壁垒总体上正不断减轻;(2)显性壁垒数值从2002年的0.904不断减小到2012年的0.374,年均减小幅度为7.88%,正持续弱化;(3)隐性壁垒数值从2002年的0.011逐年增大到2012年的0.102,年均增长幅度为6.05%,正逐年加重;(4)中国目前是以显性壁垒为主、隐性壁垒为辅,未来将从简单直接的显性壁垒转型为复杂间接的隐性壁垒。
The half of total import and export volume is from commercial presence, so its open degree is related to the development of international trade in China. This paper builds a measuring index system which includes 13 indexes for explicit and implicit barriers of financial trade in service. After that, time series data from 2002 to 2012 in China are selected as swat- ches, and factor analysis method is applied to conduct empirical study. The research result shows that : ( 1 ) The barriers of financial trade in service is overall constantly decreasing; (2)The value of explicit barrier drops from 0. 904 to 0. 374, and annual decrease rate is 7.88% , thus it means explicit barrier continuing to drop; (3)The value of implicit barrier accretes from 0. 011 to 0. 102, and annual accrete rate is 6.05% , therefore, it means explicit barrier is increasing year by year; (4)Our country has the explicit barrier as the primary barrier, and simole and direct explicit barrier would ehanze to complex indirect implicit barrier in the future.
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第3期71-78,共8页
China Economic Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金项目<中国金融发展与对外贸易的互动机制及政策取向研究>资助
关键词
贸易壁垒
因子分析法
金融服务贸易
测度指标体系
商业存在
trade barrier
factor analysis method
financial trade in service
measuring index system
commercial presence