摘要
作者阐述了当前金融危机预警研究中存在的几个误区，认为正是这些误区导致当前金融危机预警效果的低效和不完整性。基于研究基础上，本文认为新一代的预警模型必须引入非线性研究范式、非经济的预警指标和全方位的预警模式。
The author exoatiates on the several defects in the research of the financial crisis early warning in the paper, which result in the inefficiency and the incompleteness in the financial crisis prediction. Based on the researches, the author stresses that the non－ linear methods, non－ economic variables and omnidirectional early－ warning model are introduced in the research on the financial crisis prediction.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第11期116-119,共4页
China Soft Science
