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“安全困境”和族群冲突——迈向一个动态和整合的族群冲突理论 被引量:15

The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict:towards a dynamic and integrative theory of ethnic conflict
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摘要 本文对族群冲突中的"安全困境"的既有文献所做的批判性分析,为建立一个动态和整合的族群冲突理论奠定了部分基础。目前,许多运用"安全困境"的概念来理解族群冲突的尝试都是建立在对此概念不够准确甚至是错误的理解之上。"安全困境"理论和更为宽泛的螺旋模型实际上构成了一个动态、通用和强有力的战略互动理论,而这一理论抓住了引发战争的一般性动力。因此,"安全困境"理论和更为宽泛的螺旋模型为一个动态和整合的族群冲突理论铺平了道路,而这样的理论也能整合国际关系理论中各个学派对族群冲突的不同理解。文章最后分析了该理论的可行性和价值。 This paper critically examines the existing literature on the security dilemma in ethnic conflict,thus laying part of the foundation for constructing a dynamic and integrative theory of ethnic conflict.At present,a number of attempts to apply the concept of security dilemma to interpreting ethnic conflict have been founded on an imprecise and even mistaken understanding of the concept itself.In fact,the security dilemma theory and the much broader spiral model constitute a dynamic,versatile and powerful theory of strategic interaction that captures the general driving forces leading to a war.As such,the security dilemma theory and the spiral model,when combined and properly understood,can serve as part of the foundation for a dynamic and integrative theory of ethnic conflict,which is capable of integrating the diverse understandings of ethnic conflict by the different schools of International Relations(IR) theory.At the end this paper analyzes the feasibility and utility of such a theory.
作者 唐世平
出处 《欧洲研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第3期19-46,3+2,共28页 Chinese Journal of European Studies
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