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流通业发展与城镇化——基于面板数据模型的实证研究 被引量:21

Distribution Industry Development and Urbanization——the Empirical Research based on Panel Data Model
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摘要 流通业发展与城镇化是我国改革开放进程中密切相关的两个重要方面,两者间存在一种互相影响、互相促进的良性关系。文章运用省际面板数据对流通产业发展与城镇化间的长期关系进行的实证研究表明,流通产业发展与城镇化之间存在正相关关系,流通产业发展对城镇化进程具有长期正向促进作用,流通业发展的短期波动不会影响二者的长期均衡关系,而城镇化可为流通业发展营造广阔的市场环境,为进一步深化流通体制改革提供充足动力。因此,为推动流通业发展和城镇化沿着一条均衡路径长期持续进行,要着眼于长远,注重流通业固定资产长期稳定投入,稳步开发居民消费;要建立连接全国各城镇的流通网,提高流通便利性与流通效率,降低流通成本,加快商品供应速度,扩大商品供应数量,提升城镇对非城镇人口吸引力,促使非城镇人口持续主动地向城镇转移;要规范流通企业市场行为,鼓励支持大型流通企业兼并重组,提高流通业集中度,提升流通业整体资本报酬率。 Dist ribution industry development and urbanization are the two important related aspects in the process of China's reform and opening up;and they influence and promote each other. This paper uses provincial panel data for empirical research on long-term relationships between distribution industry development and urbanization. The results show that: there is a positive correlation between distribution industry development and urbanization and there exists a long-term positive relationship between distribution industry development and urbanization process. The short-term fluctuations of distribution industry will not affect the long-term equilibrium relationship between them. At the same time, urbanization could also create broad market environment for the development of distribution industry and provide enough driving forces for deepening reform in the distribution industry. So, to promote the balanced, long term and sustainable development of distribution industry and urbanization, we should pay more attention to the long term input in fixed asset and steadily stimulate residents' consumption. We should establish the distribution network connecting all the cities and towns of China, improve the convenience and distribution efficiency, reduce the cost, accelerate supply, increase variety, and attract more non urban population. We should also standardize the market behavior of distribution enterprises, encourage M&A and reorganization of large distribution enterprises, improve the concentration degree of this industry and improve the overall rate of return of capital.
作者 丛颖睿
出处 《中国流通经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第7期31-38,共8页 China Business and Market
基金 中国人民大学商学院科学研究基金项目"国内贸易活动基础理论与研究方法创新"(项目编号:14XNH241)的部分研究成果
关键词 流通业 城镇化 正向关系 短期波动 distribution industry urbanization, positively related short-term fluctuations
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