摘要
关于“大跃进”引起的非正常死亡人口究竟有多少，由于当时的户口登记数中有不少遗漏，而且其中包括正常死亡人口，故而难以作出回答。本文着重对科尔和蒋正华教授的研究结果作了较为详细的介绍和比较研究。认为两人所依据的资料都具有高度的可靠性，所采用的方法也各有其科学依据，但蒋正华所采用的方法，科学性更高一些。此外，本文还对“大跃进”引起的１９５８至１９６１年人口出生率大幅度下降和１９６２年以后补偿性的出生率大幅度升高，以及这次波动对下一个生育周期和再下一个生育周期的惯性作用，作了简略的阐述。
It had not been worked out that to what extent of the abnormal deaths of the Chinese population the 'Great Leap Forward' caused until the early 1980s when the scholars both at home and abroad made an attempt in assessing Chinese population changes over the 'Great Leap Forward' period. This article reviews and compares these researches, particularly those done by Ansley J. Coale and by Jiang Zhenghua. In addition, estimates and discussions are made of the dramatic fall of the 'Great Leap Forward' period birth rates and the subsequent baby boom, as well as their momentum effects upon the future population.
出处
《人口研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
1998年第1期3-12,共10页
Population Research
