摘要
利用香港、澳门平均气温长序列资料,采用回归订正法将深圳平均气温序列延长至100多年,分析显示,深圳100年来气温呈上升趋势,年平均气温线性倾向达到0.6 ℃/100年,年平均气温、夏秋冬气温在1980s后期至1990s显著升高,夏秋气温升幅最大,春季气温升幅较小,且100多年发生的严重/异常的冷/暖冬事件中,严重/异常冷冬有2/3发生在上半世纪以前,严重/异常暖冬则有2/3发生在下半世纪,1990s共出现4次。
Based on the mean temperature time series of Hongkong and Macao, the long temperature time series for the past 100 years in Shenzhen are created by using the regression method. In the 20th century, there is a temperature warming trend in Shenzhen. The mean annual temperature trends are 0.6 ℃/100 a. Except for spring temperature, there are obvious warming for seasonal temperature and annual temperature from late 1980抯 to 1990抯. The cool/warm winters of the serious and extremely serious degree happened in the 100 years. Most of the serious cool winters emerged before 1950抯, but most of serious warm winters are in the latter half of century. Especially in 1990抯, there are four serious warm winters.
出处
《热带气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第3期293-307,共15页
Journal of Tropical Meteorology
基金
深圳市科技计划项目(99-1-35)的资助
