摘要
首先讨论 LS-LM模型对分析中国经济的适用性 ,接着借助经济计量方法建立了中国的IS-LM模型 ,并从中得出三点重要结论 :一是频繁地改变制度会增加宏观经济政策效果的不确定性 ;二是现阶段宏观经济政策的作用基础基本上是存在的 ;三是目前财政政策比货币政策更能有效地刺激产出 .最后讨论了静态
At the beginning of the paper, the meaning of this topic is analyzed and the appropriateness of IS LM model for analyzing the China's economy is assessed. On the basis of them, an IS LM model is established and estimated by econometric methods. From this model, some important suggestions can be drawn: 1.Frequent changes of policies tend to enhance the uncertainty of macroeconomic policy; 2.At present, the basis for macroeconomic policies to function exists in China to some degree; 3.The fiscal policy can stimulate the output more efficiently than the monetary one in current China. Therefore, we should depend more on fiscal policies to recover the declined economy, but the lag of active policies should not be neglected.
出处
《管理科学学报》
CSSCI
2002年第1期46-54,共9页
Journal of Management Sciences in China
