摘要
产业发展、经济增长与就业问题一直都是政府和学者关注的重点。从产业发展视角分析宏观经济指标与就业问题的相关性,研究宏观经济变化对就业问题的影响。以山东省为例,采用OLS回归分析、格兰杰因果检验等研究方法,对宏观经济指标与就业问题的相关性进行实证研究,结合实证分析结论,提出:政府应从政策制定、人财物的要素集聚等方面多措并举,加快产业转型升级,优化产业结构,发展高端制造业、现代服务业,以第二、第三产业带动第一产业发展,产业融合,充分发挥产业结构优化与就业良性发展正向互促的优势,推动中国经济由高速增长向高质量发展的转变。
Industrial development,economic growth and employment have long been the concerns of governments and scholars. The article analyzes the correlations between macroeconomic indicators and employment,and the impact of macroeconomic changes on employment. By taking Shandong Province as an example,an empirical study is made on the correlations between macroeconomic indicators and employment by using methods such as OLS regression analysis and Granger causality test. Based on the results,the article proposes that government should take measures from several aspects such as policy making,factor concentration of human resources,capital and material resources to expedite the transformation and upgrading of enterprises,optimize industrial structures,develop high-end manufacturing industries and modern service industries,and try to develop the primary industry by taking advantage of the secondary and tertiary industry. Furthermore,government should pay attention to industrial convergence,and promote the positive mutual promotion advantage of industrial structure optimization and benign development of employment.
作者
杨胜利
虎朝阳
杨钦栋
YANG Sheng -li;HU Zhao-yang;YANG Qin -dong(University of Richmond,VA 23173,U.S.A.)
出处
《云南财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第12期38-47,共10页
Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金
教育部人才培养项目"高等学校青年骨干教师国内访问学者项目"
西南民族大学学位点建设项目"应用经济学硕士点建设项目"(2014XWD-S0202)
关键词
产业发展
经济增长
劳动力就业
相关性
Industrial Development
Economic Growth
Labor Employment
Correlation
