摘要
新型城镇化是以人为核心的城镇化。在城镇长期留居的流动人口是城镇常住人口的重要组成部分。在城镇化进程中如何留住这些流动人口?流动人口的迁移动因是决定其在城镇长期留居的重要影响因素。利用2002—2013年31个省际面板数据实证分析结果表明,流动人口的迁移动因对城镇化水平有着不同影响,地区之间存在较大差异。流动人口因务工、借读培训、投靠亲属而迁移对城镇化水平有着正向影响,但作用效果存在群体差异与地区差异。务工迁移者仍是人口流动的主体,流动人口子女随迁和举家迁移有助于城镇化水平提升。东部地区务工迁移对城镇化的影响更为显著,中部地区主要来自流动人口的举家迁移,西部地区人口流动以向外流动为主,留守家庭子女在城镇借读培训提高了当地的城镇化水平。一个理想的政策效果是,城镇化政策既能直接促进流动人口在城镇定居,又能从其迁移动因出发因地制宜地间接作用于长期留居行为,这在新型城镇化进程中应予以重点关注。
Human is the core of the new urbanization urbanization.The floating population who live in cities long is an important part of the permanent resident population.How to retain the floating population in the urbanization process Migration motivation is one of the important factors affecting whether long-term stay in the city.Using the panel data of 31 provinces and provincial cities in 2002-2013,the empirical analysis results show that the floating population’s migration motivation has different effect on urbanization level,and with big differences between regions.The floating population migration to industrial jobs,transient education & training and living with family have positive impact on urbanization level,with group differences and regional differences in the result.Migrant workers are still the main part of population mobility,children trailing and family migration help to promote urbanization level.In the eastern region,the effects of migration to industrial jobs are more significant.The central region mainly effected from the family migration.In the western region,floating population more inclined to flow out,movement to flow outward is given priority to,transient education & training are the main influence factors of urbanization level.An ideal policy effect is that urbanization policy can directly promote the settlement of the floating population in the cities,also indirectly effect their long-term staying by adjusting measures to differing conditions according to the migration motivation fully.That should be focused on in the new urbanization process.
出处
《兰州学刊》
CSSCI
2018年第12期135-148,共14页
基金
海南省社科基金项目"国际旅游岛建设对海南省经济发展拉动效应的实证研究"(项目编号:HNSK(JD)17-14)
三亚学院青年项目"人口流动
人力资本积累与海南城市化动力机制研究"(项目编号:SYQN12-2)
关键词
人口流动
迁移动因
城镇化水平
常住人口城镇化
population mobility
migration motivation
urbanization level
permanent resident population
