摘要
基于"十一五"期间中央对地方下达的化学需氧量(COD)排放控制计划,构造环境规制的政策实验,用三重差分法估计了环境规制对污染产业转移的影响。研究发现,控制计划实施后,要完成更高COD减排目标的省份,COD排放密集型产业产值和就业的相对比重都比其他产业减少更多,即存在环境规制更严格的省份向环境规制更弱省份的污染转移,该结论在一系列检验下均稳健。并且这种转移行为在中央政府对地方政府的中期评估和期末考核年份更明显,这表明地方政府存在为考核达标而突击减排的情况。进一步考察污染转移的方向发现,转移既发生在东中西部大区域之间,也发生在大区域内部不同省份之间,其中大区域之间以东部到中西部的转移为主,区域内部以东部地区内部不同省份之间的转移为主。
Based on the COD emission reducing mandates released by the central government to local government in 11 th Five-Year Plan,this paper builds a policy experiment to explore the effect of environmental regulation on domestic pollution transfer. The results indicate that there are more reduction in both relative output value and employees in COD emission intensive industries in provinces with higher COD reduction mandate after the policy implementation. Which means there are domestic pollution transfer in China,and the impact is stronger in years of mid-term evaluation and final assessment of central government on local government,which means local government temporarily strengthen regulation to reducing emission to reach the assessment target in assessment year,and the assessment of central government on local government can stimulate local government to conduct environmental policy more effectively. We also find that the transfer not only exist between large zone of east,middle and west areas which mainly from east to middle and west,but also exist in different provinces in east area.
作者
金晓雨
JIN Xiaoyu(School of Economics and Finance,Chongqing University of Technology,Chongqing 400050',China)
出处
《产业经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第6期115-125,共11页
Industrial Economics Research
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AZD025)
重庆市社会科学规划项目(2017QNJJ13)
重庆市教委科技项目(KJ1709234)
关键词
环境规制
污染转移
COD
“十一五”规划
环境政策
environmental regulation
pollution transfer
COD
11 th Five-Year Plan
environmental policy
