摘要
本文以2016年以来新一轮煤炭价格上涨为研究背景,关注我国铁路运输特征尤其是铁路运力约束对煤炭现货价格的影响。通过理论研究、统计分析与实证研究发现:铁路运力缺口增大确实会推动煤炭价格的上涨,尤其在市场需求旺盛时期,运力紧张对煤炭价格上涨的影响更为显著。因此,提高适应煤炭运输市场变化的铁路运输能力对国内煤炭市场的健康稳定发展乃至对国民经济都具有重要意义。
Based on the research background of a new round of coal price rise since 2016,this paper focuses on the impact of railway transport characteristics,especially railway transport capacity constraint, on China’s coal spot price fluctuations.Through the theoretical research, statistical analysis and the empirical model, the study found that the increase of railway capacity gap will indeed promote coal price, and the influence is even more significantin the period of high market demand. Therefore, the railway transport capacity that adapts to the change of coal transport market is of great significance to the healthy and stable development of domestic coal market and even national economy.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第12期79-82,共4页
Price:Theory & Practice
基金
中国工程院重大咨询项目"碳约束条件下我国能源结构优化研究"(2016-ZD-07)
"推动能源生产与消费革命战略研究"(2016-ZD-14)
中国工程院中国科技知识中心建设项目"能源专业知识服务系统建设"(CKCEST-2017-2-4)的支持
关键词
铁路
运力约束
运输价格
煤炭市场
煤炭价格
Railway
Capacity constraint
Transportation price
Coal market
Coal price
