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广西北部湾经济区对物流业发展的政策效应研究——基于双重差分法的实证检验 被引量:1

Research on the Policy Effect of Guangxi Beibu Gulf Economic Zone on Logistics Industry——A Empirical Test of DID
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摘要 广西北部湾经济区是国家重要战略规划之一,但其效应如何,需要进行验证。本文基于2000-2015年间广西14个地级市的面板数据,运用双重差分法研究北部湾经济区对物流业的影响。实证结果表明:北部湾经济区的设立显著促进了地区物流业的发展,这一结论在进行一系列稳健性检验之后依然成立。研究还发现工业发展水平、地区经济总量和社会消费能力对地区物流业的发展也具有一定影响。从深入推进北部湾经济升级战略、优化工业空间布局及扩大内需等方面提出促进物流业发展的建议。 The Beibu Gulf Economic and Economic Zone is an important strategy for the development of plan-ning in Guangxi. However, its effectiveness is in need of verification. Based on the panel data of 14 prefec-ture-level cities in Guangxi during the period of 2000-2015, this paper uses the double difference method to study the impact of the Beibu Gulf Economic Zone on the logistics industry. The empirical results show that the establishment of the Beibu Gulf Economic Zone has significantly promoted the development of the regional logistics industry. This conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests. It was also concluded that the total industrial output value, regional GDP, and total retail sales of social consumer goods also have a certain impact on the development of the regional logistics industry. The proposals for promoting the development of the logistics industry are proposed from the aspects of deepening the economic upgrading strategy of the Beibu Gulf, optimizing the layout of industrial space, and expanding domestic demand.
作者 高安刚 何彩莲 覃波 GAO An-gang;HE Cai-lian;QIN Bo(Beibu Gulf University,535011,Qinzhou ,Guangxi,China)
机构地区 北部湾大学
出处 《特区经济》 2019年第1期122-125,共4页 Special Zone Economy
基金 广西哲学社会科学规划课题"广西制造业低端锁定评价及其解锁机制研究"(17FGL007) 钦州学院高级别培育项目"知识嵌入对广西北部湾经济区产业升级作用机理研究"(2016PY-SJ13)
关键词 北部湾经济区 物流 政策效应 双重差分 BeibuGulf Economic Zone logistics policy effect difference-in-differences
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