摘要
中国历史上朝代更替过程普遍呈现一种“大乱—小稳—大稳”的振荡过程 ,即一个“多国林立时期 (大乱 )→一个短命的全国性政权 (小稳 )→一两个长期的全国性政权 (大稳 )”的模式。这种振荡模式与我国古代的气温变化情况有明显的相关性。在以农牧业为主的社会 ,生产力的状况对自然条件的依赖是很强的。因此 ,气温的剧烈变化 ,往往会导致政权情况的剧烈变化 ,即处在“小稳”或“大稳”的结束时期 ;反之 ,气温的相对平稳 ,往往会使政权的状态保持相对不变 ,即处在“大乱”或“大稳”
The vicissitudes of Chinese dynasties presented an oscillating model of'a large chaos → a small steady → a large steady', that is, a model of 'many states coexisting (a large chaos) → a short life nationwide state (a small steady) → one or two long life nationwide states (a large steady)'. This oscillating model is strongly related to the vicissitudes of Chinese air temperature. In an agriculture or animal husbandry society, the productive forces are strongly dependent on natural conditions, then the great changes of air temperature usually caused the great changes of state powers, which accounted for the period of 'a small steady' or the end of 'a large steady'. Conversely, the relative stable period of air temperature is usually related to the relative stable periods of state powers, that is, 'a large chaos' or 'a large steady'.
出处
《天津大学学报（社会科学版）》
2002年第1期57-60,共4页
Journal of Tianjin University：Social Sciences
关键词
气温变过
中国历史
朝代更替
vicissitudes of air temperature
Chinese history
vicissitudes of dynasties
