摘要
采用描述性统计方法,分析了1994年以来我国国内游发展现状及基本特征,利用LMDI模型对我国国内游发展进行因素分解,结果表明,①产业内结构、产业间结构、经济水平、人口规模等4因素均促进了我国国内旅游的快速发展,与1995年相比,4因素分别使2010年国内游总收入累积增加了23.67%、26.30%、404.91%和27.89%;②各因素作用规律存在一定差异,其中,产业内结构因素年际波动性较强,产业间结构因素呈"M"形分布规律,经济水平因素的促进效应逐年放大;人口规模因素呈现"上升—下降—上升"的三阶段变化特征。
The descriptive statistical methods was used to analyze the development status and basic characteristics of China＇s domestic travel since 1994. On this basis, LMDI model was applied in the decomposition of the factors affecting China＇s domestic travel development. The results showed that China′s domestic tourism has gained rapid development from 1995 to2010 mainly due to the intra-industry structure industrial structure, economic level and population size. The total domestic travel income was cumulatively increased by 23.67%, 26.30%, 404.91% and 27.89%. There were certain differences in effects of various factors. Intra-industry structural factor had strong inter-annual volatility. Industry structure factor presented＂M＂-type distribution. The promoting effects of economic level had enlarged year after year. Population size factor presented three-stage variation of ＂up-down-up＂.
出处
《湖北农业科学》
北大核心
2014年第9期2216-2220,共5页
Hubei Agricultural Sciences
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(2013YB12)
关键词
国内游
发展特征
驱动因素
LMDI模型
domestic travel
developing characteristic
driving factor
LMDI model
