摘要
自2010年以来,亚太天然气市场的进口溢价不断走高,对我国国民经济发展的影响显著;同时,我国天然气对外依存度也呈现出快速增加的趋势,迫切需要构建天然气交易中心,以保障国家能源安全,争夺定价机制的话语权,并优先形成地区基准价格。通过对内部优劣势和外部竞争力的对比分析,结果认为,我国现阶段天然气产业政策密集推出、现货和期货交易市场开始起步、天然气产量快速增长、基础设施建设快速推进,同时上海的区位优势明显,相对于新加坡、日本、马来西亚等国,已经基本具备构建区域性天然气交易中心的时机和条件。通过SWOT(优势、劣势、机会和挑战)分析和市场化演进进程分析,提出了"依托供给格局,逐步推进天然气交易中心构建;顺应政策预期,大力推进储备体系建设;发挥比较优势,形成区域性利益共同体;借鉴国外经验,加强市场化改革与监管体系设立"的发展战略。该成果系统地梳理了我国构建天然气交易中心的必要性、可行性和阶段性战略路径,可为推进我国天然气交易中心的构建提供决策支持。
Since 2010,the LNG importing price premium in the Pacific-Asia markets has become increasingly high,generating an adverse effect on the economic development in China.In addition,the natural gas dependence degree is expanding continuously,making it extremely urgent to establish a natural gas trading center in China,with the targets to ensure national energy security,to gain the pricing power,and to build the regional benchmark prices.Through a comparative analysis of internal strength/weakness and external competence,we concluded that with intensively-issued supporting policies on the natural gas sector,the initial start of spot and futures markets,a rapid growth of gas production and highly-improved infrastructures,as well as Shanghai＇s advantageous location,China has more advantages in establishing an Asian Natural Gas Trading Hub compared with other countries like Singapore,Japan,Malaysia,etc.Moreover,based on the SWOT （strength,weakness,opportunity and threat） and the marketization process analysis,the following strategies were presented：to impel the establishment of a natural gas trading center depending on the gas supply condition,to follow the policies to complete the gas storage system,to form regional communities by taking comparative advantages,and to reinforce the marketization reform and regulation system establishment with foreign experiences for reference.This study rationalized the necessity and practicality of establishing a natural gas trading hub in China and will help China make a proper decision and find a periodical strategic path in this sector.
出处
《天然气工业》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第9期1-10,共10页
Natural Gas Industry
关键词
中国
天然气
交易中心
竞争力
战略分析
实施路径
进口溢价
定价机制
决策支持
China
natural gas
trading hub
competitive power
strategic analysis
implementation
import premium
pricing mechanism
policy support
