摘要
劳动力转移刺激了农业化石能源的投入，同时又受化石能源投入的反作用。笔者测算了1993年-2010年中国农业生产中化石能源的投入量，并采用协整与误差修正模型，验证了农业化石能源投入与农业劳动力转移之间的关系。结果表明，农业劳动力转移1％，农业化石能源投入增加0．52％；当期能源投入增加1％，劳动力转移0．14％，滞后一期能源投入增加1％，当期劳动力转移0．24％。因此，要想为工业化提供充足的劳动力供应，就需要提高农业化石能源的投入。与此同时，又要提高生产资料利用效率，防止化石能源的过量投入。
The labor transfer has stimulated the input of agricultural fossil energy, and also was affected by the fossil energy reaction. This paper measures the input amount of China agricultural fossil energy between the period of 1993 to 2010, and uses the co-integra- tion and error correlation model to test the relationship between them. The results show that when agricultural labor transfers 1%, the input amount of agricultural fossil energy increases by 0.52% ; when current energy input increases 1%, the labor transferred 0.14% ; the lag fossil energy input increases 1%, the current labor transfers 0.24%. So the agricultural fossil energy input should increase, in order to supply abundant labor resources for industrialization. And meanwhile, the production material utilization efficiency should advance in order to avoid the excess input of fossil energy.
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第5期38-42,共5页
Economic Survey
基金
教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(10YJC790199)
关键词
农业化石能源
劳动力转移
误差修正模型
Agricuhural Fossil Energy
Labor Transfer
Error Correlation Model
