摘要
采用1991—2013年福建省金融相关率、净出口率和第二产业比重三个变量,建立了VAR模型,实证结果表明:金融发展与产业结构互为Granger因果关系,对外贸易和产业结构互为Granger因果关系,金融发展是对外贸易的Granger因果关系不显著,但对外贸易是金融发展的Granger因果关系很显著。结合福建省具体情况,提出若干政策建议。
T he paper uses the financial related rate,net export rate and the proportion of the second industry of Fujian Province from1991 to 2013 to establish the VAR model. T he empirical results show the G ranger causality betw een the financial development and industrial structure, and betw een foreign trade and industrial structure. Financial development is not the G ranger causality of foreign trade, w hile the foreign trade is very significant in financial development. Finally, according to the circumstances of Fujian, it puts forw ard some suggestions.
出处
《莆田学院学报》
2014年第4期53-57,共5页
Journal of putian University
关键词
福建省
金融
对外贸易
产业结构
VAR模型
Fujian Province
finance
international trade
industrial structure
VAR model
