摘要
通过农户模型进行分析,理论推导的结论表明:在国内农业生产成本上升的背景下粮食补贴依然有效;运用2003-2010年全国农村固定观察点数据,使用面板Tobit模型以及面板数据分位数估计的方法证实了理论推导的结论。研究进一步表明,与粮食种植面积相挂钩的补贴方式对农户种粮积极性的激励作用要明显大于脱钩的补贴方式;此外,种粮成本对农户种粮积极性的抑制作用要远大于粮食直补的促进作用。
First, analysis has been made through agricultural household models and theoretical derivation indicates that grain subsidies has been effective in an overall environment of domestic agricultural produc -tion cost rising .Then the Tobit model and panel data quantile regression method are used to test the a-bove hypothesis based on data collected from rural fixed observation points from year 2003-2010 .Our re-search suggests that correlating subsidies with cultivated area is more incentive than separating them .Al-so, the negative effect of agricultural cost on the initiative of farmers has been greater than the positive effect of direct subsidies .
出处
《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2014年第4期24-36,共13页
Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(13AZD003)
国家社会科学基金青年项目(13CJY080)
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71273267)
国家自然科学基金项目(71203227)
关键词
粮食直补
种粮积极性
种粮成本
种粮面积
direct subsidies to grain producers
initiative to Cultivate
cost of grain growing
grain size
