摘要
随着国内经济增速的放缓和天然气价格水平的提高,支持天然气快速发展的基本因素已经发生转变,未来我国天然气市场仍将长期持续发展,但需求增速将明显下降,"十三五"期间存在较大的资源过剩和价格倒挂风险,特别是在全球天然气市场供需宽松的环境下,对国家天然气政策的制定和商业模式的选择提出了较大挑战。因此,建议政府部门和相关企业规划统筹发展,保持供需均衡,深化市场改革,构建交易中心,完善价格机制,加强调峰能力。
With the growth slowdown in the domestic economy and rising natural gas prices, the fundamental factors that supported fast growth in natural gas demand in China have changed. China's natural gas market's long term development will continue,but demand growth will evidently slow down. Hence there is great risk of excess supply and price inversion during the 13 th Five Year Plan period, especially in the face of a slackening global gas market which will pose comparatively big challenges to government and enterprises in national natural gas policymaking and company choice of business model. Hence government departments, business planners, and rural developers should plan on overall maintenance of market balance, deepened market reform, formation of regional trading hubs,pricing mechanism improvement, and increased gas storage capacity for peak shaving.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2014年第11期45-49,110,共5页
International Petroleum Economics
基金
国家科技重大专项<大型油气田及煤层气开发>(2011ZX05043-004)资助
