摘要
笔者在Aghion等(1999)包含资本的多部门模型基础上扩展内生增长模型,尝试将制度、内生人力资本和技术创新纳入统一分析框架,检验制度质量、资本积累和技术创新在长期经济增长中的作用。结果显示,长期经济增长既取决于制度质量和技术创新,也取决于资本积累和家庭偏好。正增长率的长期稳态均衡只有当制度质量达到一定水平才可能出现,且当均衡存在时,制度质量的改进会通过提高人力资本积累效率和垂直创新活动的期望收益而提高长期经济增长率。此外,政府的税收和补贴政策也能够影响长期经济增长。本文旨在为我国重启改革提供理论支撑和政策建议。
This paper is an extension of multi-sectors endogenous growth model including capital based on the model of Aghion and Howitt （1999）. It sets institution, endogenous human capital and technological innovation into a unified analysis framework for the first time, and tests the effects of institution, capital accumulation and technological innovation on the long-term economic growth. The results show that long-term economic growth not only depends on the institutional quality and technical innovation, but also depends on capital accumulation and family preferences. The long-term stable equilibrium of positive growth rate only occur when the institutional quality reaches a certain level, and the improvement of the institutional quality will improve long-term economic growth rate when the equilibrium existing. In addition, government tax and subsidy policy can also affect the long-term economic growth. This paper aims to provide theoretical support and policy suggestions for the revival of China＇ s reform.
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期120-125,共6页
Economic Survey
基金
国家社科基金项目(13BMZ013)
四川省社会科学研究"十二五"规划项目(SC14C047)
西南民族大学应用经济学学位点建设项目资助(2011XWD-S0202)
关键词
制度质量
资本积累
技术创新
经济增长
Institutional Quality
Capital Accumulation
Technological Innovation
Economic Growth
