摘要
基于江西省11个地级市1997—2012年国内旅游收入、国际旅游收入与地区生产总值面板数据,通过协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验及面板数据模型等方法,综合分析了江西省旅游经济效应分异特征。长期内,江西省整体旅游发展对经济增长发挥了正向带动效应,但国内旅游发展水平与国际旅游发展水平不均衡,国内旅游对于经济增长的带动作用相对较弱;同时旅游收入与经济增长不存在格兰杰因果关系,尚无法形成两者相互促进的良好局势;而江西省内部旅游经济效益存在明显的协整关系和格兰杰因果关系地域差异。
This article studied dissimilarity characteristics of the economic effects of tourism in Jiangxi Province through the cointegration analysis,Granger causality test,panel data models and other methods,based on the panel data of domestic tourism revenue,international tourism receipts and regional GDP from 1997 to 2012 collected from 11 cities in Jiangxi Province. In the long term, the overall economic growth of Jiangxi tourism development has played a positive driving role,but the development of domestic tourism was not in bal？ance with that of international tourism and domestic tourism is relatively weak in driving economic growth. Meanwhile,the relationship of Granger causality was not found between tourism revenues and economic growth, meaning the two were unable to mutually reinforce each other.However,obvious regional differences were found in the internal tourism economic benefits of Jiangxi in co-integration and Granger relationship.
出处
《农林经济管理学报》
CSSCI
2014年第6期678-686,共9页
Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AJY008)
关键词
江西省
旅游经济效应
分异
面板数据模型
Jiangxi Province tourism economic effects dissimilarity panel data model
