摘要
运用偏离份额模型,以全国为参考大区,分析了1993-2012年山东半岛蓝区海洋渔业的份额分量N、竞争力偏离分量P、结构偏离分量D。研究结果表明,蓝区海洋渔业仍处于结构演进的"一、二、三"起步阶段:第一产业比重稳步下降,但其中海洋捕捞所占比重依然过大;第二产业比重逐步提高,但产业内部结构存在调整空间;第三产业发展缓慢,缺乏竞争力。根据上述问题,建议通过坚持"以养为主"方针,优化海洋捕捞生产结构,加快发展水产品后续深度加工工业,稳步推进第三产业发展,最终实现海洋渔业产业结构优化。
Based on Shift -share Method ,this paper analyses the three indicators - regional growth share、industrial structure share and regional shift -share of the Marine fishery industry from to in the blue economic zone of Shandong peninsula with China as the reference district .The results show that it is still in the“primary、secondary、tertiary” starting stage of its industrial structure evolution ：the pro‐portion of the primary industry in Marine fishery industry in Shandong Province declines steadily ,but the proportion of marine fishing industry in it remains high ;Though the proportion of the secondary industry gradually increases ,there is much room for adjusting the internal structure ;The tertiary in‐dustry develops slowly and is lack of competitiveness .Based on the problems referred ,there are several measures to optimize the industrial structure of Marine fishery ：Adhere to the “Mari culture-based”policy ;Optimize the structure of Marine fishing industry ;Develop the advanced processing industry of aquatic products ;Improve the development of the tertiary industry .
基金
公益性行业科研专项<"山东半岛蓝色经济区"建设的海洋空间布局优化技术体系及决策服务系统应用示范>(201205001)
国家自然科学基金<海域承载力视角下海洋渔业空间布局优化的模型及应用>(71273247)
中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院自设项目<海洋产业经济基础理论框架研究>(2012JDZS07)阶段性成果
关键词
偏离份额模型
产业结构演进
海洋渔业
Shift-share Method
Industrial structure evolution
Marine fisheries industry
