摘要
构建土地整治重大项目社会稳定风险评估机制,对规范土地整治重大项目建设和土地整治相关管理具有重要的现实意义。立足重大项目的全生命周期管理要求,综合分析了土地整治重大项目社会稳定风险的内涵,提出了相应的风险评估过程,并采用PSR模型建立了风险评估体系。研究认为:(1)重大项目的社会稳定风险在项目的立项论证、建设实施和管护运营等阶段均能以不同形式存在,风险评估应根据项目各管理阶段的重点任务及特征,系统分析土地整治过程中可能存在的各类风险因素;(2)风险评估过程应包含风险调查、风险识别、风险评价及风险化解4个程序;(3)基于PSR模型的风险评估体系可反映出土地整治社会稳定风险的产生、传导、作用和控制过程,可为重大项目风险评估指标的选取提供逻辑框架。
The construction of social stability risk evaluation mechanism,which applies to major landconsolidation projects,is of practical significance to standardizing management of major land consolidationprojects and other relevant affairs.Based on the whole lifecycle management requirements of major landconsolidation projects,this study systematically analyzed the connotation of social stability risk of majorprojects,and put forward the corresponding risk evaluation process.Moreover,the risk evaluation system wasestablished by using the PSR model.The study indicated that：（1） the social stability risk of major landconsolidation projects existed in different forms at various stages including the project demonstration,implementation and management;in term of that,risk evaluation should make a comprehensive analysis of riskfactors that might exist in the whole process of land consolidation according to key tasks and characteristics ofmajor projects at each management stage;（2） the risk evaluation process should include risk survey,riskidentification,risk evaluation and risk elimination;（3） the risk evaluation system based on PSR model couldreflect the whole affecting process of the social stability risk from it＇s emergence,conduction,function andcontrol,which provided a logical framework for the selection of risk evaluation indicators of major landconsolidation projects.
出处
《中国农学通报》
2015年第5期250-255,共6页
Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin
基金
教育部博士点基金"集成系统动力学与多智能体系的土地利用规划"(20120091110014)
关键词
土地整治
重大项目
社会稳定
风险评估
PSR模型
land consolidation
major projects
social stability risk
risk evaluation
PSR model
