摘要
引导农村人口有序地向城镇转移,积极稳妥地推进城镇化健康发展,是中国未来很长一段时间的重要战略任务。基于农村人口迁移空间选择的视角,对人口本地城镇化和人口异地城镇化的影响因素进行实证研究。结果发现:较高的少儿抚养比加剧了落后地区低质的人口异地城镇化,不利于人口本地城镇化;较大的城乡收入差距导致落后地区农村人口迁移以获取高收入为主要目标,而无视城镇定居成本,增强了低质的人口异地城镇化趋势,不利于人口本地城镇化;提高落后地区人力资本水平,有利于人口本地城镇化发展;中西部地区的城市群是加快人口本地城镇化发展的重点区域。
For china, the primary strategic task of social economic development is to actively and steadily raise urbanization level, transfer orderly rural population for a long time in the future. This article takes Anhui province as an example from the perspective of migration space selection to explore characteris- tics and influencing factors of local urbanization and remote urbanization. The results show that： Higher child dependency ratio intensifies low quality remote urbanization, which is unfavorable to local urbaniza- tion. The larger urban-rural income gap makes that the main factors affecting the migration is income rather than urban settlement costs, similarly intensifies low quality remote urbanization, which is unfavorable to lo- cal urbanization. It＇s good for local urbanization in backward areas to improve the level of human capital; Midwest city group is fundamental space accelerating China＇s local urbanization.
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期61-67,共7页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
国家社科基金重大招标项目"以人为本的中国新型城镇化道路研究"(13&ZD025)
国家社科基金项目"产业空间分布优化的城镇就业效应研究"(13BJL073)
安徽省社科规划办项目"经济转型背景下安徽区域中心城市集聚带动功能提升研究"(AHSK11-12D02)资助
关键词
本地城镇化
异地城镇化
人口迁移
推拉理论
local urbanization
remote urbanization
population migration
push-pull theory
